A tribe swap and a double boot episode has really changed a lot in the game. Some players have risen in power while others have fallen short. Let's take a look at the power rankings leading into tonights episode.
1. Jenn
Previous week:6
Jenn makes a big jump to the number one spot this week because of the events of the tribe swap. Her finding the idol gives her a solid security blanket, which she won't even need because she is once again part of the majority on her new tribe. I don't think Jenn is going anywhere until merge.
2. Hali
Previous week:3
Right behind Jenn is her right hand lady, Hali. Hali is also in the majority of the red tribe and should not be in danger as long as her bff is in power.
3. Mike
Previous week:14
This was a tough decision for me. It's too early to tell who the safest person on the blue tribe is. Sierra is threatening to flip, Rodney is in love with Joaquin, and every one is paranoid about everyone. I think that no matter what happens though, Mike should be safe. If Sierra decides to flip on the blue collar boys, I don't think Mike would be the main target. Thanks to Mike's obnoxious allies, he gets a huge boost in the rankings.
4. Joe
Previous week:2
The tribe swap put Joe in a shaky position, but I think his relaxed nature will keep him UTR with all the big personalities. If the blue collar sticks together, I believe they'll keep Joe around due to his challenge performance.
5. Will
Previous week:15
Will skyrockets up the list by being in a clear majority now. The only reason he's a little lower on the list than Jenn and Hali is because of Will's challenge performance. I don't see them voting him out but his odds of danger are higher because of his lack of physical ability.
6. Carolyn
Previous week:1
Even though Carolyn earned a spot in the majority of her new tribe, I'm lowering her rank this week because her safety isn't exactly guaranteed. Now Carolyn could be looked at as a flipper, someone who will betray anyone. I don't think Carolyn is the next to go but because of the potential danger, I'm going to lower her.
7. Sierra
Previous week: 4
At first glance, Sierra looks like the safest person on the new blue tribe. She has the potential to be the big swing vote that decides who is in power. The problem is that the tribe she is on seems so unpredictable that there really isn't a clear cut line on who is with who. If this Rodney/Joaquin thing is real, will Joaquin be the flip or Rodney? There is a possibility that they vote out Sierra for being the only girl and for being so mad at the boys for blindsiding her.
8. Kelly
Previous week:5
Kelly is in an interesting position. She's the only blue collar player on the red tribe. Now that the original no collars have the majority, it might be in their best interests to knock the blue collar tribe down a peg.
9. Tyler
Previous week:9
Tyler is a lot more vulnerable on his new tribe then his previous one. I don't think he's next on the chopping block if a non-blue collar goes, but Tyler might go down if Rodney wants to keep Joaquin safe by taking out one of his allies. I don't see Tyler leaving though, I am predicting a possible Tyler/Joaquin/Rodney trio.
10. Dan
Previous week:13
The social butterfly himself. He's itching his way up more and more but the fact is that if Sierra flips, either Dan or Rodney are going home. Dan's mouth is his own worst enemy, so I wouldn't be surprised if Dan leaves next.
11. Rodney
Previous week:7
I use to have Rodney ranked pretty high, but then I started holding him to a higher standard. Rodney has been self-destructing for a while now. If his previous alliance views his relationship with Joaquin as a threat, he could very well be out of the game. There is also the chance that Sierra will flip and rally the outcasts to settle the unfinished business from her last tribal.
12. Joaquin
Previous week:11
I wish I could rank Joaquin higher, but he just hasn't been able to set himself up in a solid position. If the blue collar people do stick together, they are most likely going to target Joaquin for his budding romance with Rodney.
13. Shirin
Previous week:12
There's not much to say about Shirin that she hasn't already said herself or slaughtered. She is the obvious vote for the red tribe should they lose again. Her social awkwardness won't be enough to save her and lack of challenge ability on her tribe only increases the chance of her demise. Shirin is my boot pick for episode 5.