Time for my power rankings for Survivor 30 following episode 2. Just a reminder that these rankings are not necessarily who is playing the best game but who is the safest position leading into the next episode. Let's get rolling!!!
1. Joe
Previous week:11
Joe get's a huge boost in the rankings because of the terrible move by Will. Joe is now in a majority position and doesn't have to deal with Vince anymore. Even if Nina or Will find an idol, they will most likely target one of the girls instead Joe because of his challenge ability. Joe isn't going anywhere until a swap.
2. Carolyn
Previous week:6
Even though the White Collar dynamics are all over the place, I put Carolyn as the highest from that tribe. Her idol and strong connection to Shirin should keep her safe from anyone plotting to target her. The trio of her/Shirin/Max should be in control of the next vote, leaving her in a solid position.
3. Hali
Previous week:2
I've ranked Hali pretty high these first few rounds not for her gameplay but strictly for her position. She's in the majority of No Collar so the only way I see her leave is because of an idol play. If an idol is in fact played, I would predict it goes to Jenn because of Jenn's obnoxious attitude towards Nina.
4. Rodney
Previous week:3
Rodney drops just one rank because he obviously loses his temper next episode, something that isn't usually good. I don't see him going anywhere though because of the annoyance of Mike and Dan. His challenge performance has been pretty solid too, so I don't see him going if the challenge votes on performance.
5. Sierra
Previous week:10
Sierra isn't taking the game by storm but she's managed to put herself in a safe position. As long as Dan and Mike stay the way they are, Sierra will be just fine.
6. Max
Previous week:7
Max's nudist attitude didn't earn him any fan points for me, but the Shirin's confessional reenforced how infatuated she is with him and his gameplay. As long as there isn't any conflict between Shirin/Max/Carolyn, I don't see any of them being in danger.
7. Kelly
Previous week:1
I had Kelly ranked as the safest player in the game last week. I gave her a huge drop because she didn't have a single confessional last episode, which isn't a great sign for longevity. Her sitting out of the challenge also suggests that she might be perceived as the weakest member of the Blue Collar tribe. If the tribe decides to vote on challenge performance, it could be the end of Kelly. I'm not giving her a huge drop though because I'm very confident that if BC goes to TC then it'll be Dan or Mike's number.
8. Jenn
Previous week:5
Even though she's part of the NC majority, Jenn gets a drop because she's made herself a prime target for Nina. I think the odds of Nina and Will finding an idol are slim but if they do find and use it, I think it'll be used on Jenn.
9. Lindsey
Previous week:9
Lindsey seems to blow up on Mike next week, so I decided to leave her in the same spot. She should be in the majority on the vote but might just be in danger from an idol.
10. Shirin
Previous week:13
Shirin isn't making any friends with her nudist behavior, but she's been moved up mostly due to actions of other players who are now ranked lower. Her relationship with Max and Carolyn hasn't seemed to waiver so as long as she performs well enough in the challenge, she should be okay.
11. Will
Previous week:4
Will takes a huge plummet because of his move last episode. He passed up an opportunity to put himself in majority but has now put himself and Nina in the bottom. If he gives one more bad performance in the challenge, they might skip Nina and go straight for Will.
12. Tyler
Previous week:8
Tyler is one of my favorite players but the reason I have him ranked so low is because he doesn't really have a solid group with anyone on the tribe. Tyler acted very uncomfortably around naked Shirin, so I'm not sure if it's going to distance himself away from the group. There's also the fact that no one commented on Joaquin being on the outs last episode. After Joaquin won the challenge for WC, Tyler might find himself in trouble if they decide they want to keep Joaquin because of his challenge skill.
13. Joaquin
Previous week:16
His performance in the challenge moves him up a few ranks but Joaquin is still the safe bet if WC goes to tribal. If he doesn't make any solid connections, the tribe might just band together and vote him out due to trust issues. Even though I have him ranked low, I wouldn't count out Joaquin just yet.
14. Dan
Previous week:17
Dan had a much better episode this week. He was great during the challenge was able to be out shadowed by Mike's firewood antics. It's possible that the vote sticks to Dan, but if he can keep showing his worth, he might just survive the vote.
15. Mike
Previous week:12
Mike should have stuck to eating scorpions because his social game is much better when he's throwing up all day. His total lack of social perception is going to make several of his tribemates hit the breaking point. If the preview is any indication of what's next to come, Mike might be the next one on the chopping block.
16. Nina
Previous week:15
Coming in dead last is Nina because she is in the obvious minority of the NC tribe. She barely has any bonds with anyone on her tribe except for her one ally that screwed up her plan. Nina is the safest bet for episode 3's boot.
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