Sunday, March 15, 2015

Survivor 30 Power Rankings Week 3

Time for my power rankings for Survivor 30 following episode 3. Just a reminder that these rankings are not necessarily who is playing the best game but who is the safest position leading into the next episode. Even though next week is going to be a 2 hour episode and most likely a swap, I'm just going to rank normally and go with the flow. 




1. Carolyn
Previous week:2
Carolyn gets the number one spot because I believe she is the swing vote of the WC tribe. Tyler and Joaquin have bonded over the awkwardness of the nudist pair Shirin and Max. If they go to tribal, Carolyn will be the vote that determines which side will prevail.



2. Joe
Previous week:1
Joe is still in the power alliance of the NC tribe but the reason why I dropped him from the number one spot is because of idol potential. Now that Will is the clear number one target for NC, the scenario for Will to find the idol and dethrone the King is there. Unlikely though, which is why Joe remains high.



3. Hali
Previous week:3
Hali stays in number three because she's part of a majority alliance and is very unlikely to be the target of an idol. She isn't threatening at all and has an easy buffer before her. 



4. Sierra
Previous week:5
Sierra moves up because she's one of two silent players on a tribe full of psychopaths. People are at each other's throats and fortunately for Sierra, she's not one of those throats.



5. Kelly
Previous week:7
Kelly also moves up for the same reason as Sierra. She's trying to mother these crazy blue collars while they try to rip each other to shreds. Since she's not the recipient of any malice, Kelly has nothing to worry about.



6. Jenn
Previous week:8
Jenn moves up a little mostly because of multiple people moving down. She's still in a majority at NC with an obvious boot and only has to worry about Will having an idol. I don't believe she has much to worry about at this point.



7. Rodney
Previous week:4
Rodney moves a couple spots down because he totally blew up. Although his position in a majority doesn't seem to be in danger, it's never a good thing to give yourself unwanted attention. He apparently argues with Lindsay next episode too, which could be a bad sign.




8. Max
Previous week:6
Shirin's crazy antics could be the end of Max. Tyler and Joaquin have started bonding and if they can grab Carolyn, then they'll set their sights on Shirin and Max.




9. Tyler
Previous week:12
Tyler gained a strong ally in Joaquin, and if he can just pull Carolyn away from Max and Shirin, then he gets into a solid majority. Carolyn has complained about Shirin but isn't too sure about where she'd go if they had to vote someone out. Until Tyler gets into a concrete majority, he's going to stay ranked somewhere in the middle.



10. Lindsey
Previous week:10
Losing your cool is never good in Survivor. Lindsey didn't just lose it, she threw it off a cliff. Lindsey might be in a majority against Dan and Mike but if the preview is any clue then it looks like she's getting into it with people she thought she had on her side.




11. Joaquin
Previous week:13
Joaquin still might not be in the best position but at least he has an ally in Tyler. If Joaquin can just focus on using Carolyn as a third, he can take out either Shirin or Max. Unfortunately though, he's most likely next if he can't grab Carolyn.



12. Shirin
Previous week:10
Shirin seems to be alienating herself more and more from her tribe. If she keeps pushing too many buttons, it's going to turn her once close ally Carolyn. I have a feeling that if WC does go to TC, Shirin will be the victim.




13. Dan
Previous week:14
Dan's game is very hot and cold. His big mouth shoots him in the foot every time it looks like he's getting into a reasonable position. Luckily for Dan, not only is he on a powerful tribe but he has someone who is more annoying then him. That person is...




14. Mike
Previous week:15
Whether or not I believe Mike is in the wrong is irrelevant. Mike is in a terrible situation because he isn't meshing well with his tribe and having loud confrontations with people who aren't doing enough for him. Mike is my pick to go if BC goes to tribal.




15. Will
Previous week:11
Will takes a plummet because he is on a tribe that can't really keep it together. He is the only person not in the NC power alliance and if they can't win the next challenge then he's the obvious choice. Will is my pick to leave for episode 3.


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